Indian Elections 2004*
Anshumalee Sood
[*The article was received on March 2, 2004]
Background
The General Elections 2004 being held ahead of schedule
comes as no surprise at all. That this was round the corner was
apparent based on the Chaitra Shukla Pratipada chart for the country
for 2004. This has been discussed at length in an earlier issue
of Vedic Astrology.
Chaitra Shukla Chart for India
For India, the chart is for 21st of March 2004, 04:11:17 AM at
Delhi. The Ascendant is Capricorn having no planets posited and
not aspected by any planet. Sun and Moon having the eighth and seventh
lordship respectively are in friendly sign Pisces in the third house
along with debilitated Mercury having the sixth and ninth lordship.
Yogkaraka Venus having the fifth and tenth lordship is placed in
the fourth house Aries along with Rahu. Therefore Ketu is in the
tenth house Libra. Fifth house Taurus has the planet Mars having
the eleventh and fourth lordship. Lagna and second lord Saturn is
placed in the sixth house Gemini. Jupiter being the third and twelfth
lord is placed in the eighth house Leo in retrogression.
The obvious indications were that the Lok Sabha will not be in
existence as the above date approaches.
Further the tenth house representing the government/formation in
power is afflicted due to presence of Ketu. The fourth house representing
the opposition is afflicted due to the presence of Rahu indicating
general confusion in the ranks. The saving grace however is the
presence of benefic Venus as well as a trinal aspect of Jupiter.
These factors indicate that the opposition is likely to gain during
the current year.
Perspective
The election comes at a time when the planetary placements
are not conducive to the same. The possibility of violence, terrorist
threat and possibly even communal clash loom large.
Independence Chart for India
The chart used for India is that of the Indian Independence Day:
August 15, 1947 at 00:00 hours, time zone +5:30, New Delhi, India,
28N39, 077E13. The Ascendant is Taurus 07:44. Rahu is 05:44 in the
Lagna. Mars is 07:27 Gemini in the second house. Apart from Jupiter,
which is 25:52 Libra in sixth house and Ketu, which is in Scorpio
in the seventh house, all the remaining planets are in Cancer, the
third house. The respective positions are Moon 03:59, Mercury 13:41,
Saturn 20:28, Venus 22:34 and Sun 27:59. All the planets are in
direct motion apart from RKA, which is in its normal retrograde
motion. None of the planets are either exalted or debilitated. Moon
is in own sign. The conglomeration of five planets in Cancer, third
house makes for some interesting combinations and Kendra Trikona
Rajyogas. Atma Karaka (Sun), Putra Karaka (Mercury) who is also
the fifth lord and Dara Karaka (Moon) give rise to many Jaimini
Rajyogas too.
The transit position of the three malefic planets Mars, Saturn
and Rahu in the lagna/ascendant and the adjoining houses, namely
second and twelfth, in the independence chart of India do not assure
the well being for the nation during the run up period as well as
the elections. The ascendant of the nation is afflicted by Mars
while being in a strong paap-kartari yoga being hemmed between dire
malefics Saturn and Rahu.
The political situation is as fluid as can be and is likely to
reach melting points in the coming weeks. The alliance in power,
as well as the opposition parties/groups is in a constant secret
huddle of sorts in a bid to out do the other. It is likely to remain
a conspiracy like scenario for the coming weeks as each formation
does its best to assure itself of the magic numbers in the forthcoming
Lok Sabha.
As the election dates approach the scenario is likely to get murkier
and murkier. The apparent strength of the ruling alliance is perhaps
overestimated in the present and this will keep becoming clearer
with passing days, as well as the fact that the oppositions’
apparent weakness/lack of cohesion and the ability to put up a fight
has been underestimated in the present.
Without doubt there are a number of factors in favour of the alliance
in power. It would indeed not be prudent to underestimate the opposition.
Therefore the need of the hour is to be wary of complacency in order
to avoid any unpleasant surprises in the polls outcome.
The planetary positions are likely to have a significant effect
on the contours of the various political formations in the arena.
It is more than likely that the constituents in the alliances are
different after the elections from the ones that were present in
the pre election period.
Election Dates & Eclipse
The proposed elections are spread over four phases
to be held on 20th and 26th in the month of April and on the 5th
and 10th in the month of May. The time of announcement of elections
is indicative of the need for possible revision and/or rescheduling
of the dates.
On the night of 4th / 5th of May a significant astrological phenomenon
is occurring in the form of a total lunar eclipse.
The eclipse is visible throughout Asia including India and therefore
assumes added significance. The solar eclipse on 19th of April is
not significant as it is not visible in India.
The lunar eclipse is occurring while Moon is transiting Libra sign
(rashi) and Vishakha constellation (nakshatra). Such an eclipse
is said to be pernicious for the populace at large while threatening
the death of some renowned and illustrious personality in public
life.
An eclipse has an impact on mundane events and the impact is not
positive. The eclipse is happening midway through the election process.
Possible effect in the present can be the postponement of some election
dates due to unforeseen and unexpected developments.
Outcome
The outcome of the election is expected to be very
close indeed. The claim to the coveted seat of power is likely to
be within striking distance of more than one group. This leaves
the field wide open with the possibilities of the emergence of the
most unlikely of alliances as well as the specter of a period of
relative political uncertainty as compared to the last half decade.
In the opinion of the author even the prime ministerial candidate
is expected to be a surprise. For what it is worth, Shri Manmohan
Singh, the present leader of opposition in Rajya Sabha comes closest
to fitting the bill.
© Anshumalee Sood, Vedic Astrology
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